Meana Petro
PR-12FundacionalOla 1IADominio

Priorización de Candidatos a Reacondicionamiento

En una frase

Ranks which wells to intervene on next by expected barrels per dollar, with rig availability in the calculation.

El problema

The workover list is usually assembled from field requests and reviewed in a monthly meeting. Ranking is by whoever argued most persuasively, and there is no consistent estimate of what each job is worth against what it costs.

Cómo funciona

Each candidate gets an expected incremental rate from its diagnosed problem type and the field’s own outcome history for that job type, with a success probability attached. Jobs are then sequenced against rig availability and cost as a scheduling problem, so the ranking reflects what can actually be executed this quarter.

Datos necesarios

  • Current and historical rates per well with decline behaviour
  • Historical workover records with job type, cost, and measured post-job gain
  • Rig and crew availability calendar
  • Well diagnosis input from the problem-diagnosis capability

Qué obtiene

  • Ranked candidate list with expected gain, success probability and cost
  • Executable schedule against rig availability
  • Post-job reconciliation feeding back into the success-rate estimates

Qué no puede hacer

Expected gain is estimated from the field’s own history, so a job type with only a handful of past executions carries an estimate too uncertain to rank confidently. The system shows the sample size behind every estimate, and for thin job types it reports a range rather than a point value.

Cada página de capacidad declara una limitación real. Si un proveedor no puede decirle dónde termina su producto, no le están diciendo la verdad sobre dónde empieza.

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