Predicción de Estabilidad del Pozo
Predicts the mud weight window that keeps the hole open — not too light and it caves, not too heavy and it fractures.
Warns that the string is becoming hard to move, typically twenty to sixty minutes before it stops moving at all.
A stuck-pipe event costs between two and fifteen days and occasionally the hole section. The warning signs — creeping overpull, rising torque baseline, degrading hole cleaning — are visible in the data for a long time before the event.
Crews see the signs but have no quantitative trigger, so the decision to circulate and back-ream gets deferred until it is too late.
Torque and drag residuals against a calibrated friction-factor model are combined with pack-off signature detection on standpipe pressure and a hole-cleaning index derived from cuttings return and flow rate. A sequence model scores the last two hours of behaviour rather than the instantaneous state.
Alarms name the mechanism — differential sticking, pack-off, or key-seating — because the correct response differs for each.
Differential sticking against a permeable sand gives good lead time. Sudden pack-off from a mobile salt or an unstable rubble zone can develop in under five minutes, and in those cases the model provides little or no warning. It is honest about which mechanism it is seeing, so the crew knows how much of the lead time to trust.
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Predicts the mud weight window that keeps the hole open — not too light and it caves, not too heavy and it fractures.
Compares what the string should weigh and how hard the pumps should work against what is actually measured, and flags the gap.
Reads every daily drilling report the operator has ever filed and answers, in seconds, what went wrong at this depth in this field before.
Rate of penetration is how fast the bit makes hole. This recommends the weight and rotation speed that make it fastest without wrecking the bit.
A kick is formation fluid entering the wellbore. Left unchecked it becomes a blowout. This watches eleven sensor streams and warns the crew minutes earlier than pit-volume alarms do.