مانا بترو
SR-14أساسيةالموجة 2المجالالذكاء الاصطناعي

تقدير الاحتياطيات الآلي وتحليل الانحدار

في جملة واحدة

Fits decline curves across every well in the field on a consistent basis and keeps the audit trail that a reserves report needs.

المشكلة

Annual reserves work is a spreadsheet campaign in which each engineer fits curves by eye with different assumptions about downtime, and the auditor spends most of the review reconstructing what was done.

كيف تعمل

Automated fitting applies Arps and modified hyperbolic models with consistent rules for downtime handling, segment selection and terminal decline. Every fit stores its parameters, the data window used and who approved it, so the audit trail is a by-product rather than a separate exercise.

البيانات المطلوبة

  • Monthly or daily production by well with downtime recorded separately
  • Well event history: workovers, artificial-lift changes, choke changes
  • Economic limit assumptions
  • Prior reserves booking for continuity

ما الذي تحصل عليه

  • EUR by well with fit parameters and diagnostic plots
  • Field roll-up by reserves category with change reconciliation year over year
  • Audit package with every assumption and approval recorded

ما لا تستطيع فعله

Decline analysis assumes the future resembles the fitted past under unchanged operating conditions. It has no view on a change in artificial lift, an infill campaign or a facility constraint, and it will fit a confident curve to a well whose decline is entirely caused by a partially closed choke. Event history is therefore mandatory input, not optional.

كل صفحة قدرة تذكر حداً حقيقياً. إن لم يستطع المورّد إخبارك أين يتوقف منتجه، فلم يُقل لك الحق عن أين يبدأ.

قدرات ذات صلة